Intention To Drop Out Of The Course Among Students Of Stricto Sensu Postgraduate Programs In Brazil

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21713/rbpg.v20i41.2476

Keywords:

intention to drop out of the course, mental health, academic stressors, stricto sensu postgraduate students

Abstract

Despite the increasing number of stricto sensu education programs, many students do not complete their courses, which negatively impacts students, universities, and society. The aim of this study was to comparatively analyze the frequency and predictors of course dropout intention among stricto sensu master's and doctoral students. The sample consisted of 859 students, 492 master's students, and 367 doctoral students. We collected the data online using an electronic platform. A questionnaire on sociodemographic and academic data, a single item on Intention to drop out of the course, a single item on Satisfaction with the graduate program, DASS-21 Scale (Depression, Anxiety, Stress), Stressor Scale for Graduate Students (Difficulties with the advisor or with the guidance process, Difficulties in balancing studies, work and personal life, Academic demands and performance pressures in graduate school, Financial uncertainty and economic sustainability in graduate school) were made available. Regarding the frequency of the intention to drop out of the course, most students have thought about it at least once, and there is no significant difference between the groups. Regarding the predictors, similarities were found between the groups in the variables Depression and in the Guidance dimension of academic stressors. The groups differed in terms of satisfaction with the postgraduate program, current semester of the course, predictors for the master's degree, and the dimension of Reconciliation of academic stressors in the doctoral group. The results indicate the need for differentiated actions for both groups.

Author Biographies

Mary Sandra Carlotto, Universidade de Brasília

PhD in Social Psychology from the University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain. Visiting Professor in the Graduate Program in Social, Work, and Organizational Psychology at the University of Brasília (UnB), Brasília, DF, Brazil.

Sheila Gonçalves Câmara, Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre

PhD in Psychology from the Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul (PUCRS). Professor in the Graduate Program in Psychology and Health at the Federal University of Health Sciences of Porto Alegre (UFCSPA), Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.

Guilherme Welter Wendt, Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná

PhD in Psychology from the University of London, London, United Kingdom. Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Health Sciences at the State University of Western Paraná, Francisco Beltrão, PR, Brazil.

References

ABREU, E. K. D. N. et al. Factors associated to suicide risk in stricto sensu postgraduate students: a cross-sectional study. Revista Latino-Americana de Enfermagem, v. 29, e3460, 2021. DOI: 10.1590/1518-8345.4590.3460.

BÄULKE, L.; GRUNSCHEL, C.; DRESEL, M. Student dropout at university: a phase-oriented view on quitting studies and changing majors. European Journal of Psychology of Education, v. 36, n. 1, p. 199-220, 2021. DOI:10.1007/s10212-020-00482-8.

BARATA, R. B. Programas de pós-graduação profissionais: por que precisamos deles? International Journal of Business Marketing, v. 5, n. 2, p. 30-34, 2020. Disponível em: https://www.ijbmkt.org/ijbmkt/article/view/172. Acesso em: 22 maio. 2025.

BEKOVA, S. Intentions versus outcomes in doctoral degree completion. Higher Education Research & Development, v. 44, n. 2, p. 307-321, 2025. DOI: 10.1080/07294360.2024.2396347.

CAETANO, T. S.; BARDAGI, M. P. O aluno de pós-graduação stricto sensu no Brasil: revisão da literatura dos últimos 20 anos. Revista Brasileira de Pós-Graduação, v. 12, n. 29, 2016. DOI:10.21713/2358-2332.2015.v12.853.

CALLENDER, C.; DOUGHERTY, K. J. Student choice in higher education—reducing or reproducing social inequalities? Social Sciences, v. 7, n. 10, p. 189–195, 2018. DOI: 10.3390/socsci7100189.

CASSIANO, C.; GUIMARÃES, V. H. A.; GONÇALVES, J. R. L. “Não importa o que você sente ou pensa, você precisa de ser produtivo e eficiente”: vivências e percepções dos estudantes de mestrado e doutorado no Brasil. Brazilian Journal of Health Review, v. 6, n. 2, p. 5860-5879, 2023. DOI: 10.34119/bjhrv6n2-114.

CASTELLÓ, M. et al. Why do students consider dropping out of doctoral degrees? Institutional and personal factors. Higher Education, v. 74, p. 1053-1068, 2017.

CELIK, P.; STORME, M. Trait emotional intelligence predicts academic satisfaction through career adaptability. Journal of Career Assessment, v. 26, n. 4, p. 666-677, 2018. DOI: 10.1177/1069072717723290.

CESAR, F. C. R. et al. Qualidade de vida de estudantes de mestrado e doutorado da área da saúde. Revista Brasileira de Enfermagem, v. 74, n. 4, e20201116, 2021. DOI: 10.1590/0034-7167-2020-1116.

COSTA, E. G.; NEBEL, L. O quanto vale a dor? Estudo sobre a saúde mental de estudantes de pós-graduação no Brasil. Polis: Revista Latinoamericana, v. 50, p. 1-19, 2018. Disponível em: http://journals.openedition.org/polis/15816. Acesso em: 22 maio 2026.

DE CLERCQ, M. et al. All you need is self-determination: Investigation of PhD students’ motivation profiles and their impact on the doctoral completion process. International Journal of Doctoral Studies, v. 16, p. 189–209, 2021. DOI: 10.28945/4702.

FAUL, F. et al. G*Power 3: a flexible statistical power analysis program for the social, behavioral, and biomedical sciences. Behavior Research Methods, v. 39, p. 175–191, 2007. DOI: 10.3758/BF03193146.

FEIZI, S.; KNÄUPER, B.; ELGAR, F. Perceived stress and well-being in doctoral students: Effects on program satisfaction and intention to quit. Higher Education Research & Development, v. 43, n. 6, p. 1259-1276, 2024. DOI: 10.1080/07294360.2024.2317276.

FINDEISEN, S. et al. Dropout intention: a valid predictor of actual dropout? Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, v. 16, n. 10, p. 1-26, 2024. DOI: 10.1186/s40461-024-00165-1.

GLATZ, E. T. M. et al. A saúde mental e o sofrimento psíquico de pós-graduandos: uma revisão de literatura em teses e dissertações. Revista Educar Mais, v. 6, p. 255-273, 2022. DOI: 10.15536/reducarmais.6.2022.2719.

GLORIEUX, A. et al. Calling it quits: A longitudinal study of factors associated with dropout among doctoral students. Studies in Continuing Education, v. 47, n. 1, p. 1–19, 2025. DOI: 10.1080/0158037X.2024.2314694.

GUZMÁN-RINCÓN, A.; BARRAGAN, S.; VITERY, F. C. Rurality and dropout in virtual higher education programmes in Colombia. Sustainability, v. 13, n. 9, p. 4953, 2021. DOI: 10.3390/su13094953.

HEUBLEIN, U. Student drop-out from German higher education institutions. European Journal of Education, v. 49, n. 4, p. 497–513, 2014. DOI: 10.1111/ejed.12097.

JUNGES JUNIOR, M. L.; STEFANELLO, F.; APARECIDO VIEIRA, J. de. A pós-graduação stricto sensu do Brasil: espaço de formação de professores universitários. Educação, Ciência e Cultura, v. 26, n. 2, p. 1-13, 2021. DOI: 10.18316/recc.v26i2.7615.

LITALIEN, D.; GUAY, F. Dropout intentions in PhD studies: A comprehensive model based on interpersonal relationships and motivational resources. Contemporary Educational Psychology, 41, 218-231, 2015. DOI: 10.1016/j.cedpsych.2015.03.004

LOVIBOND, S. H.; LOVIBOND, P. F. Manual for the depression anxiety stress scales. Psychology Foundation, 1995.

MARÔCO, J. Análise estatística com utilização do SPSS. 3. ed. Lisboa: Edições Sílabo, 2007.

MATTHEWS, R. A.; PINEAULT, L.; HONG, Y. H. Normalizing the use of single-item measures: validation of the single-item compendium for organizational psychology. Journal of Business and Psychology, v. 37, n. 4, p. 639-673, 2022.

MELIÁN, E.; REYES, J. I.; MENESES, J. The online PhD experience: a qualitative systematic review. International Review of Research in Open and Distributed Learning, v. 24, n. 1, p. 137-158, 2023.

MIRANDA, G. J. et al. Dificuldades, preocupações e estresse na Pós-Graduação. Revista Gestão Universitária na América Latina-GUAL, p. 24-43, 2022.

MUSSLINER, S. et al. Evasão no ensino superior: uma revisão integrativa da literatura. Revista Brasileira de Educação, v. 26, e260061, 2021. DOI:1590/S1413-24782021260061.

NÚÑEZ-VALDÉS, K.; GONZÁLEZ CAMPOS, J. A. Perfil de egreso doctoral: una propuesta desde el análisis documental y las expectativas de los doctorandos. IE Revista de Investigación Educativa de la REDIECH, v. 10, n. 18, p. 161–175, 2019. DOI: 10.33010/ie_rie_rediech.v10i18.604.

OECD. Panorama de la educacion 2022: indicadores de la OCDE. Paris: OECD Publishing, 2022. DOI: 10.1787/3197152b-en.

ORGANIZAÇÃO DAS NAÇÕES UNIDAS (ONU). Transformando nosso mundo: a Agenda 2030 para o desenvolvimento sustentável. Nova York: ONU, 2015. Disponível em: https://brasil.un.org/pt-br/91863-agenda-2030-para-o-desenvolvimento-sustentavel. Acesso em: 24 maio 2025.

OLIVEIRA, C. A. D.; BITTENCOURT, M. N.; LIMA, Y. M. S. Satisfação e dificuldades percebidas por discentes na pós-graduação stricto sensu: estudo de análise do discurso do sujeito coletivo. In: OPEN SCIENCE RESEARCH. [S.d.]: Editora Científica Digital, 2022. v. 1. Cap. 91, p. 1091-1106. DOI:10.37885/220107472.

PENG, P. et al. (2022). High prevalence and risk factors of dropout intention among Chinese medical postgraduates. Medical Education Online, v. 27, n. 1, p. 2058866, 2022. DOI: 10.1080/10872981.2022.2058866.

PERCHINUNNO, P.; BILANCIA, M.; VITALE, D. A statistical analysis of factors affecting higher education dropouts. Social Indicators Research, v. 156, p. 341-362, 2021. DOI: 10.1007/s11205-019-02249-y.

PIQUET, R.; LEAL, J. A. A.; TERRA, D. C. T. Mestrado profissional: proposta polêmica no Sistema Brasileiro de Pós-Graduação – o caso do planejamento regional e urbano. Revista Brasileira de Pós-Graduação, v. 2, n. 4, p. 30-37, 2005. DOI: 10.21713/2358-2332.2005.v2.75.

PÓS-GRADUAÇÃO stricto sensu tem mais de 350 mil matriculados. Ministério da Educação [Site], 9 maio 2024. Disponível em: https://www.gov.br/mec/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/2024/maio/pos-graduacao-stricto-sensu-tem-mais-de-350-mil-matriculados. Acesso em: 8 dez. 2024.

POSSELT, J. Normalizing struggle: dimensions of faculty support for doctoral students and implications for persistence and well-being. The Journal of Higher Education, v. 89, n. 6, p. 988-1013, 2018. DOI: 10.1080/00221546.2018.1449080.

QUECANO, L. I. V.; RINCÓN, A. G.; MORENO, S. B. Dropout in postgraduate programs: a underexplored phenomenon – a scoping review. Cogent Education, v. 11, n. 1, p. 1-20, 2024. DOI: 10.1080/2331186X.2024.2326705.

ROTEM, N.; YAIR, G.; SHUSTAK, E. Dropping out of master’s degrees: objective predictors and subjective reasons. Higher Education Research & Development, v. 40, n. 5, p. 1070-1084, 2021. DOI: 10.1080/07294360.2020.1799951.

SÁ, M. J. Student academic and social engagement in the life of the academy: a lever for retention and persistence in higher education. Education Sciences, v. 13, n. 3, p. 269, 2023. DOI: 10.3390/educsci13030269.

SANTOS, C. M. D. Tradições e contradições da pós-graduação no Brasil. Educação & Sociedade, v. 24, n. 83, p. 627-641, ago, 2003.

SAVIANI, D. A pós-graduação em educação no Brasil: trajetória, situação atual e perspectivas. Revista Diálogo Educacional, v. 1, n. 1, 1-95, 2000. DOI: 10.7213/rde.v1i1.3211.

SCHREIBER, J. B. et al. Reporting structural equation modeling and confirmatory factor analysis results: A review. The Journal of Educational Research, v. 99, n. 6, p. 323-338, 2006. DOI: 10.3200/JOER.99.6.323-338.

SILVA, S. M. et al. Motivos para o ingresso na pós-graduação stricto sensu: uma pesquisa com estudantes de uma IES pública. Psicologia Escolar e Educacional, v. 27, p. 1-12, 2023. DOI: 10.1590/2175-35392023-250905.

SKOPEK, J.; TRIVENTI, M.; BLOSSFELD, H. P. How do institutional factors shape PhD completion rates? An analysis of long-term changes in a European doctoral program. Studies in Higher Education, v. 47, n. 2, p. 318–337, 2022. DOI: 10.1080/03075079.2020.1744125.

UNESCO. Education for Sustainable Development: a roadmap. Paris: UNESCO, 2020.

VALENCIA-ARIAS, A. et al. University dropout model for developing countries: a colombian context approach. Behavioral Sciences, v. 13, n. 5, p. 382, 2023. DOI: 10.3390/bs13050382.

VIGNOLA, R. C. B.; TUCCI, A. M. Adaptation and validation of the depression, anxiety and stress scale (DASS) to Brazilian Portuguese. Journal of Affective Disorders, v. 155, p. 104-109, fev. 2014. DOI: 10.1016/j.jad.2013.10.031.

WOLLAST, R. et al. Facing the dropout crisis among PhD candidates: the role of supervisor support in emotional well-being and intended doctoral persistence among men and women. Studies in Higher Education, v. 48, n. 6, p. 813-828, 2023. DOI: 10.1080/03075079.2023.2172151.

ZHOU, Y. A study on the influencing factors of postgraduate dropout intention: exploratory analysis based on grounded theory. SHS Web of Conf. v. 174, e01019, 2023. Trabalho apresentado no 2º International Conference on Science Education and Art Appreciation. Seção: Educational Practice and Teaching Curriculum Reform. DOI:10.1051/shsconf/202317401019.

Published

2026-06-08

How to Cite

CARLOTTO, M. S.; GONÇALVES CÂMARA, S.; WENDT, G. W. Intention To Drop Out Of The Course Among Students Of Stricto Sensu Postgraduate Programs In Brazil. Brazilian Journal of Graduate Studies, Brasília, DF, v. 20, n. 41, p. 1–21, 2026. DOI: 10.21713/rbpg.v20i41.2476. Disponível em: https://rbpg.capes.gov.br/rbpg/article/view/2476. Acesso em: 20 aug. 2026.

Issue

Section

Debates